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ABM \u7814\u7a76\u8005\u7231\u666e\u65af\u5766\uff08JoshuaM.Epstein\uff09\u8fd9\u6837\u5b9a\u4e49 ABM \u65b9\u6cd5\u6240\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff1a\u201cABM \u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u65e0\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u3001\u5c40\u90e8\u7684\u3001\u5f02\u8d28\u6027\u7684\u81ea\u4e3b\u884c\u52a8\u4e2a\u4f53\uff0c\u6765\u7814\u7a76\u793e\u4f1a\u89c4\u5f8b\u5982\u4f55\u663e\u73b0\u3002\u201d\u8fd9\u4e00\u65b9\u6cd5\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece\u5916\u90e8\u53bb\u89c2\u5bdf\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e16\u754c\uff1a\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u8bbe\u8ba1\u51fa\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\uff0c\u81ea\u4e3b \u884c\u52a8\u8005\u4eec\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ed9\u5b9a\u7684\u8d77\u70b9\u51fa\u53d1\uff0c\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u5176\u5728\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u7684\u89c4\u5219\u4f5c\u7528\u4e0b\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u6f14\u5316\u6210\u5b8f\u89c2\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u73b0\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u514b\u670d\u5b9a\u91cf\u4e0e\u5b9a\u6027\u65b9\u6cd5\u5404\u81ea\u7f3a\u9677<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u5b9a\u6027\u65b9\u6cd5\u3001\u5b9a\u91cf\u65b9\u6cd5\u4f5c\u4e3a\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u4e24\u79cd\u57fa\u672c\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u90fd\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u4e0d\u8db3\u3002\u5b9a\u6027\u7814\u7a76\u5728\u6982\u5ff5\u5b9a\u4e49\u548c\u903b\u8f91\u6f14\u7ece\u4e0a\u96be\u4ee5\u505a\u5230\u4e25\u5bc6\uff1b\u5b9a\u91cf\u65b9\u6cd5\u7531\u4e8e\u6570\u636e\u6536\u96c6\u548c\u89c2\u5bdf\u4e0a\u7684\u9650\u5236\uff0c \u5b58\u5728\u5f88\u591a\u96be\u4ee5\u514b\u670d\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u800c ABM \u65b9\u6cd5\u80fd\u514b\u670d\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5f31\u70b9\u3002\u4e00\u662f\u5f02\u8d28\u6027\u3002\u5728\u4e00\u822c\u91cf\u5316\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5168\u90e8\u4e2a\u6848\u88ab\u81ea\u53d8\u91cf\u5212\u5206\u4e3a\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7c7b\u578b\uff0c\u81ea\u53d8\u91cf\u548c\u56e0\u53d8\u91cf\u53d6\u503c\u4e00\u6837\u7684\u4e2a\u6848\uff0c\u5c31\u5c5e\u4e8e\u540c\u8d28\u7684\u4e2a\u6848\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a \u6ca1\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\u4eba\u662f\u4e00\u6837\u7684\uff0c\u6587\u5316\u80cc\u666f\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4ea4\u5f80\u5bf9\u8c61\u4e0d\u540c\u3001\u5e76\u4e14\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u6f14\u8fdb\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u81ea\u5df1\u548c\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u81ea\u5df1\u4e5f\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u91cf\u5316\u7814\u7a76\u65e0\u6cd5\u5145\u5206\u4f53\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5f02\u8d28\u6027\u3002\u4e8c\u662f\u81ea\u4e3b \u6027\u3002\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4e2a\u4f53\u884c\u52a8\u8005\u90fd\u662f\u5177\u6709\u81ea\u4e3b\u6027\u7684\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u5916\u5728\u7684\u7edd\u5bf9\u4e2d\u5fc3\u63a7\u5236\u7740\u884c\u52a8\u8005\uff1b\u5fae\u89c2\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u548c\u5b8f\u89c2\u7684\u5916\u90e8\u73af\u5883\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u4ea4\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u548c\u53cd\u9988\uff0c\u5e76\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u800c\u6f14\u8fdb\u3002\u4e09 \u662f\u5c40\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u4ea4\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u4e2a\u4f53\u5bf9\u4e8e\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u8ba4\u77e5\u5f80\u5f80\u6e90\u4e8e\u5176\u6240\u5904\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u5f71\u54cd\u4ed6\u7684\u4e5f\u5f80\u5f80\u53ea\u53ca\u4e8e\u5176\u6240\u5904\u793e\u4f1a\u7a7a\u95f4\u5468\u56f4\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\uff0c\u800c\u4e2a\u4f53\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u4e2a\u4f53\u4e4b\u95f4\u53ea\u5177\u6709\u5c40\u90e8\u6027\u7684 \u4ea4\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u8fd9\u53c8\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e86\u7b2c\u56db\u4e2a\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u5373\u6709\u9650\u7406\u6027\u3002\u4e2a\u4f53\u7531\u4e8e\u4e0d\u80fd\u5f97\u5230\u6574\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u5168\u90e8\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u5176\u83b7\u5f97\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\u3001\u8ba1\u7b97\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\uff0c\u90fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e2a\u4f53\u7684\u6709\u9650\u7406\u6027\u3002\u4e94\u662f\u4e2a\u4f53 \u884c\u52a8\u8005\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u5b66\u4e60\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u65e0\u8bba\u4e2a\u4f53\u884c\u52a8\u8005\u8fd8\u662f\u793e\u4f1a\uff0c\u90fd\u4f1a\u4e0d\u65ad\u5730\u4ece\u5df2\u6709\u7684\u7ecf\u5386\u4e2d\u5b66\u4e60\u548c\u8fdb\u5316\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4e0d\u65ad\u63d0\u9ad8\u5176\u5904\u7406\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9274\u4e8e\u6b64\uff0c\u7231\u666e\u65af\u5766\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86 ABM \u7684\u7ecf\u5178\u5b9a\u4e49\uff0c\u5373\u5c06\u5177\u6709\u5f02\u8d28\u6027\u7684\u81ea\u4e3b\u884c\u52a8\u8005\u653e\u7f6e\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u7a7a\u95f4\u4e2d\uff0c\u5141\u8bb8\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u5176\u81ea\u8eab\u53ef\u53ca\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u7a7a\u95f4\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f9d\u636e\u8bbe\u5b9a\u7684\u89c4\u5219\u4ea4\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u53d1\u5c55\u51fa\u5b8f\u89c2\u7684\u793e\u4f1a \u73b0\u8c61\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u57fa\u4e8e ABM \u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u793e\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4eba\u5de5\u793e\u4f1a\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u89c2\u5bdf\u81ea\u4e3b\u884c\u52a8\u8005\u4eec\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e92\u52a8\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u8fbe\u5230\u52a8\u6001\u5747\u8861\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5b9e\u73b0\u793e\u4f1a\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\uff1b\u6216\u8005\u5982\u4f55\u4e0d\u80fd\u8fbe\u5230\u6211\u4eec\u671f\u671b\u7684\u5747\u8861\uff0c \u4ece\u800c\u51fa\u73b0\u793e\u4f1a\u6e83\u8d25\u3002\u7231\u666e\u65af\u5766\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e00\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u73b0\u8c61\u4e0d\u80fd\u5728\u4eba\u5de5\u793e\u4f1a\u4e2d\u901a\u8fc7 ABM\u4e2d\u7684\u81ea\u4e3b\u884c\u52a8\u8005\u751f\u957f\u51fa\u6765\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u610f\u5473\u7740\u6211\u4eec\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u771f\u6b63\u4e86\u89e3\u8fd9\u4e00\u73b0\u8c61\u6240\u5305\u542b\u7684\u673a\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u518d\u4e3e\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u3002\u8003\u8651\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff1a\u5728\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u6c9f\u901a\u673a\u4f1a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u80fd\u5426\u5bf9\u67d0\u4e00\u8bae\u9898\u8fbe\u6210\u5171\u8bc6\uff1f\u5982\u662f\u5426\u8d5e\u6210\u5b89\u4e50\u6b7b\u3002\u8bbe\u5b9a\u6700\u8d5e\u6210 1 \u5206\uff0c\u6700\u53cd\u5bf9 0 \u5206\u3002GuilaumeDeffuant \u5728\u5173\u4e8e\u6c9f\u901a\u7684 ABM\u4e2d\u8bbe\u5b9a\u81ea\u4e3b\u884c\u52a8\u8005\u4eec\u6309\u7167\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4e24\u6761\u539f\u5219\u884c\u4e8b\uff1a1.\u4efb\u610f\u4e24\u4e2a\u884c\u52a8\u8005\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\uff08\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7b80\u79f0\u201cd\u201d\uff09\u5c0f\u4e8e 0.5\uff0c\u5219\u53ef\u4ee5\u6c9f\u901a\uff1b\u5982\u679c d \u5927\u4e8e 0.5 \u5219\u4e0d\u53ef\u4ee5\u6c9f\u901a\u30022.\u6c9f\u901a\u7684\u6548\u679c\u5c06\u662f\u53cc\u65b9\u5404\u81ea\u5411\u5bf9\u65b9\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\u9760\u62e2\uff0c\u5982\u6bcf\u6b21\u7f29\u5c0f 5%\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u3002Deffuant \u521b\u9020\u4e86 1000 \u4e2a\u81ea\u4e3b\u884c\u52a8\u8005\uff0c\u5728 d \u7b49\u4e8e 0.5 \u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u4ed6\u4eec\u968f\u673a\u9009\u62e9\u5bf9\u8c61\u8fdb\u884c\u4e24\u4e24\u6c9f\u901a\uff0c\u5728\u591a\u6b21\u8fed\u4ee3\u5373\u6709\u5145\u5206\u6c9f\u901a\u673a\u4f1a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u5f97\u5230\u56fe 1\uff0c\u8bc1\u660e\u5728\u6001\u5ea6\u5dee\u5f02\u4e3a 0.5 \u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u4eba\u4eec\u80fd\u4fdd\u6301\u6c9f\u901a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f1a\u4f7f\u5f97\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u610f\u89c1\u80fd\u591f\u9010\u6e10\u8d70\u5411\u7edf\u4e00\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u8fbe\u6210\u5171\u8bc6\u3002\u800c\u5982\u679c\u5c06 d \u8bbe\u4e3a 0.2\uff0c\u518d\u6b21\u6a21\u62df\uff0c\u5219\u6700\u540e\u5f97\u5230\u56fe 2\uff0c\u5373\u6001\u5ea6\u5dee\u5f02\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u4eba\u76f8\u4e92\u4e0d\u6c9f\u901a\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u53ea\u548c\u610f\u89c1\u63a5\u8fd1\u7684\u4eba\u6c9f\u901a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u6c9f\u901a\u7684\u6548\u679c\u9010\u6e10\u5448\u73b0\u51fa\u6781\u5316\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5f62\u6210\u4e92\u76f8\u5bf9\u7acb\u7684\u4e24\u6781\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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